This Software EXPOSES Fake, manipulated, overfitted MT4, MT5, cTrader Backtests
One toolkit. Every analysis. No add-ons. What’s actually inside Edge Matrix, and why I built it as a single bench instead of ten separate tools. […]
Your EA Is Losing Money in a 4-Hour Window Every Day — and You Don’t Know It
The aggregate profit factor of a backtest conceals a kind of information that is often more actionable than the headline number itself. A strategy with […]
The Kelly Criterion Is Destroying Your Account — Why the Formula Every Trader Knows Is Being Applied Wrong
The Kelly Criterion is the most cited position sizing formula in quantitative trading. It is also the most misapplied. Traders who understand the formula — […]
The Luck Factor: Why Two EAs With the Same Profit Factor Are Not the Same EA
Two EAs. Both run on EURUSD for four years. Both produce a profit factor of 1.82. Both show smooth equity curves with drawdowns under 12%. […]
Monte Carlo Simulation in Forex Backtesting: The Complete Guide for MT4, MT5 and cTrader
A backtest is a single path through history. Your EA ran across those specific years, in that specific sequence of price movements, and produced those […]
The Binomial Test: The Only Way to Know If Your EA’s Win Rate Is Real
The EA has a 68% win rate over 120 trades. The developer presents this as evidence of a genuine edge — and on the surface, […]
The Martingale EA Trap: How to Spot It Before It Blows Your Account
The EA has a 91% win rate. The equity curve rises steadily with barely a dip. Five years of backtest data. Maximum drawdown 4.2%. The […]
The Hidden Risk in Every ‘Low Drawdown’ EA
The EA vendor’s sales page shows a beautiful equity curve. Maximum drawdown: 4.7%. Five years of data. Hundreds of trades. You check the myfxbook, the […]