The Luck Factor: Why Two EAs With the Same Profit Factor Are Not the Same EA
Two EAs. Both run on EURUSD for four years. Both produce a profit factor of 1.82. Both show smooth equity curves with drawdowns under 12%. […]
Gold Dropped $411 Today. Your Backtest Never Saw It Coming.
On March 19, 2026, gold dropped $411 in a single session — 8.2% in one candle, from $5,044 to $4,608. This followed a 53% rally […]
Monte Carlo Simulation in Forex Backtesting: The Complete Guide for MT4, MT5 and cTrader
A backtest is a single path through history. Your EA ran across those specific years, in that specific sequence of price movements, and produced those […]
The Hidden Risk in Every ‘Low Drawdown’ EA
The EA vendor’s sales page shows a beautiful equity curve. Maximum drawdown: 4.7%. Five years of data. Hundreds of trades. You check the myfxbook, the […]
Is Your EA Curve Fitted? 5 Red Flags Hiding in the Backtest Report
Is Your EA Curve Fitted? 5 Statistical Red Flags That Expose Fake Backtests A backtest with a beautiful equity curve, 2.5 profit factor, and 12% […]
The Lot Size Formula That Separates Surviving Traders From Blown Account
The most expensive mistake in algorithmic trading isn’t a bad strategy. It’s a good strategy with the wrong position size. A trader finds an EA […]
The 90% Win Rate Trap: How Martingale EAs Destroy Accounts in Silence
A trader sends you a backtest report. The equity curve is almost perfectly smooth — barely any drawdown, 95% win rate, $50,000 profit on a […]
Is your Backtest a Lie — Here’s the Math That Proves It
You ran a backtest. The equity curve goes up. Profit factor is 3.2. Maximum drawdown is 8%. You’re ready to go live. Here’s the problem: […]